Results tagged “Democratic convention” from ElectionObsession

Most polls talk about the difference, but I'm finding increasing relevance in the top line. Nearly 2 weeks ago, I pointed out that Obama was maintaining his top line in the polls at about 45-47 percent. Looking at the most recent polling after the Democratic convention, Obama seems to have edged that range up to 48-49 percent.

I think that, barring another Palin-related game changer, those 1-2 points are likely to stick. McCain's top line is all over the place in these polls - CBS has it at 40, and Rasmussen has it at 48 (with Obama at 49). This is just a guess, but look for Obama's lead to be about 1-2 points higher throughout September than it was in August.